This new edition of Howson and Urbach's account of scientific method from the Bayesian standpoint includes chapter exercises and extended material on topics such as regression analysis, distributions densities, randomisation and conditionalisation.Expand

Introduction 1. Hume's Argument 2. Reliabilism 3. Realism and the No-Miracles Argument 4. Probabilism 5. Deductivisim 6. The Naturalistic Fallacy 7. 'A New Species of Logic' 8. The Logic of… Expand

Today it is customary to follow Savage and show that suitable axioms for preference determine a reflexive and transitive ordering ‘at least as probable as’ and thence, given a further assumption about how finely the state space can be partitioned, a unique probability function.Expand

My title is intended to recall Terence Fine's excellent survey, Theories of Probability [1973]. I shall consider some developments that have occurred in the intervening years, and try to place some… Expand

Gardner in his [1982] assesses the ability of a number of methodological theories to explain the phenomenon, or alleged phenomenon, of the high supportive power, relative to some hypothesis, of any… Expand

This paper offers an answer to Glymour's ‘old evidence’ problem for Bayesian confirmation theory, and assesses some of the objections, in particular those recently aired by Chihara, that have been… Expand

Many people believe that there is a Dutch Book argument establishing that the principle of countable additivity is a condition of coherence. De Finetti himself did not, but for reasons that are at… Expand